Economic Forecasting Guide

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Business/SPEA Information Commons Research FAQ

Bloomberg

A subscription database accessed from two computers in the Business/SPEA Information Commons. Provides two year economic forecasts of data items for 42 countries. Type ECFC and press the "GO" key.

Congressional Budget Office

Economic projections. CBO's forecasts for the major macroeconomic variables cover 18 to 24 months. Further projections are extended out to 10 years. CBO does not attempt to forecast cyclical fluctuations in the economy more than two years ahead; its longer-term projections are based on trends in the labor force, productivity, and saving.

Consumer Confidence Index

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index is classified as a leading economic indicator by the U. S. Department of Commerce

Indiana Business Review

The December issue is called the Outlook edition. Forecasts the upcoming year for Indiana and its metro areas including reviews of the past years national performances. Economic forecasts for the next year and an international trade outlook are included.

Livingston Survey

The oldest continuous survey of economists' expectations. It summarizes the forecasts of economists from industry, government, banking, and academia. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took responsibility for the survey in 1990. Issued twice yearly.

MSA Profile: Metropolitan Area Projections to 2040 (Woods and Poole)

In the Reference collection of the Business/SPEA Information Commons @ HC106.82 .M8

Passport GMID: Global Market Information Database - about

Delivers volume and value market size forecasts for consumer products. Also included are forecasts for key socio-economic parameters and population.

Standard & Poor's Outlook

Go to the "Companies" section. "The Outlook" will be in the middle section. The Midyear Forecast is an annual edition which appears in June. Highlights industries with superior potential, 10 stocks that are predicted for capital gains, S&P's "Buy List" which carry S&P analysts' highest rankings for prospective appreciation over the next 6-12 months, Master List of Recommended Issues and Recommended Mutual Funds

Standard & Poor's RatingsDirect   -  about

Standard & Poor's global credit ratings, research, and risk analysis; nearly 9 million credit ratings on approximately 45,000 issuers across the globe; over 350,000 research and commentary articles.

Standard & Poor's Trends & Projections

Go to "Industries" section and then select "Trends And Projections" from the menu on the left. Reviews past quarters performances and forecasts future quarters in the areas of GDP, Components of Real GDP, Income and Profits, Prices and Interest Rates, Unemployment Rate, Housing Starts, and Auto & Truck Sales.

Survey of Professional Forecasters

Quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States. The survey began in 1968 and was conducted by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took over the survey in 1990. The Survey of Professional Forecasters' web page offers the actual releases, documentation, mean and median forecasts of all the respondents as well as the individual responses from each economist. The individual responses are kept confidential by using identification numbers.

Bloomberg

A subscription database accessed from two computers in the Business/SPEA Information Commons. Provides two year economic forecasts of data items for 42 countries. Type ECFC and press the "GO" key.

Eurostat

Statistics from the European Commisson

Passport GMID: Global Market Information Database - about

Delivers volume and value market size forecasts for consumer products. Also included are forecasts for key socio-economic parameters and population.

Standard & Poor's RatingsDirect  -  about

Standard & Poor's global credit ratings, research, and risk analysis; nearly 9 million credit ratings on approximately 45,000 issuers across the globe; over 350,000 research and commentary articles.

World Economic Outlook

IMF staff's analysis and projections of economic developments at the global level, in major country groups (classified by region, stage of development, etc.), and in many individual countries. It focuses on major economic policy issues as well as on the analysis of economic developments and prospects. It is usually prepared twice a year, as documentation for meetings of the International Monetary and Financial Committee, and forms the main instrument of the IMF's global surveillance activities.